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Strategic planning and investment analysis in the transport industry

IEDT JSC conducts comprehensive research, providing for scientifically sound system solutions in terms of holistic development of railway infrastructure, with consideration of the current and future needs of the economy, industry and population in freight and passenger transportation.

IEDT JSC carries out developments in the field of strategic development and multi-factor evaluation of investment and innovation projects of transport infrastructure in Russia and abroad.


Drafting strategic documents of development in the field of transportation


Drafting concepts, strategies, general schemes, programs and plans of railway transport development.

Project portfolio:

  • Marshalling yard arrangement and development program

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  • Long-term plan for electrification of railroads

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  • Program for the development of heavy traffic on the railroad network of RZD JSCo ​

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  • Concept of strategic development of rail transportation in the 1520 area until 2030
  • Analysis of draft territorial planning documents of the Russian Federation
  • Review of draft documents of executive authorities to approve the boundaries of protected areas of designated conservation territories
  • Review of draft orders of the Government of the Russian Federation on the approval of individual programs of social and economic development of regions of the Russian Federation
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Preparation of prospects of freight transportation development

 

Development of medium- and long-term forecasts of the volume of freight traffic by rail and the structure of the freight base with the development of the routes of car traffic volumes in the future, as well as the review and forecast of the amount of freight train traffic and the distribution of freight traffic flows by direction and cargo nomenclature.

Project portfolio:

  • Development of a long-term forecast of the freight traffic load at railway sections in the infrastructure of RZD JSCo for the period of up to 2036
  • Activities aimed at upgrading the economic system for forecasting freight traffic volumes on the network of RZD JSCo, based on the model of inter-industry balances


Preparation of forecasts for the development of freight traffic volumes

Forecasting freight traffic volumes is an important management task in determining strategic plans for the development of transport infrastructure. IEDT JSC builds medium- and long-term forecasts of the freight base with a depth of detail that allows substantiating decisions on the need for developing the railway network, its individual domains, directions, sections, hubs and stations.

In order to reduce the uncertainty of the forecast, increase its reliability and verification, estimations in IEDT JSC are carried out with consideration of the maximum number of factors affecting the development of freight traffic volumes using up-to-date methods of economic and mathematical simulation.

Strategic plans for the development of rail transport are elaborated on the basis of a long-term traffic forecast made for the purpose of meeting the needs of the economy in transport services Основой формирования стратегических планов развития железнодорожного транспорта является долгосрочный прогноз объемов перевозок в целях обеспечения потребностей экономики в транспортных услугах
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This area includes the following activities:

  • Monitoring and factor analysis of changes in the transport services market
  • Determination of freight base capacity based on forecasts of development of economy and industry, production enterprises and transport infrastructure, changes in market conditions
  • Forecasting the volume, structure, directions of freight traffic on the railroad network, its individual domains, directions, sections, hubs and stations

Project portfolio:

  • Development of a long-term forecast of the freight traffic load at railway sections in the infrastructure of RZD JSCo for the period of up to 2036
  • Activities aimed at upgrading the economic system for forecasting freight traffic volumes on the network of RZD JSCo, based on the model of inter-industry balances
  • Elaboration of freight base forecasts as part of feasibility studies for railway infrastructure development and construction projects
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Development of passenger transportation prospects

 

One of the core activities of IEDT JSC includes determination of parameters of the passenger complex operations on the railway transport in the medium and long term. A forecast of future passenger traffic volume is made and the amount of passenger train traffic and the required measures related to passenger infrastructure on the railroad network of RZD JSCo are determined on the basis of indicators of the areas of interest development and the market conditions of passenger transportation by rail and alternative modes of transport. In order to determine the prospective parameters of passenger traffic, regression correlation and econometric models are build to forecast the volume of long-distance and commuting passenger traffic.

This area includes the following activities:

  • Estimates of passenger throughput and passenger turnover in long-distance and commuting traffic, including estimate for the network as a whole and additional details for domains, transport hubs and individual stations
  • Determination of the transport balance at major destinations and evaluation of the induced demand for passenger transportation generated due to the launch of new products on the railway transport
  • Estimates of prospective long-distance and commuting train traffic, taking into account the urban development of territories and points of origination and absorption of passenger traffic, as well as evaluation of the required rolling stock fl